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this post was submitted on 15 Aug 2023
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I don't follow the subject in Russian terms (the US/UK are already confusing to me) but it's interesting to hear what other countries find normal and tolerable. I think it'd be raining men in wall street if we saw rates that high.
Last time the US had rates at a comparable level was during Volcker’s term at the Fed in the early 80s. It did successfully bring down some crazy inflation.
That said there’s been 15 years of easy money following the 08 disaster and it definitely wouldn’t be pleasant to have such rates now. Businesses and as such the broader economy are built around assumptions that things will stay more or less in familiar territory
As funny as it would be to watch the tech industry try to build cash flow positive businesses, it might just crash the global economy at this point to do so.
Low rates brought on very slim capital structures financed by corporate paper.
We would deleverage, but it would hurt returns and generally be unpleasant, plus we'd go back to corporations sitting on mountains of cash "just in case".