It doesn't, Israel is going to do whatever they want just as they always have. We're they not aggressive yet, did I miss calm level headed Israeli sometime in the last 50 years? No?

Iran never intended to strike with authority, they struck back because they are intended to, they didn't want involved and now they have every reason not to be.

Iran isn't now not has it ever truly been a moderating influence in Israel.

There's no change to the math, even without the us Israel is more than equipped to lay siege to Gaza for the foreseeable future and Iran had no intention of getting involved.