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this post was submitted on 02 Sep 2024
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In Putin's eyes:
Putin = Russia.
So, "threatens the existence of the state" means "I might personally lose power over this".
It wasn't that long ago troops marched towards Putin, and while he meant to teach the lesson "go against me and die" what he really taught everyone was "next time don't negotiate and don't believe anything I say".
All it takes is letting some fall guy with a personal grudge against Putin get close to him with a gun.
Everyone gets to pretend that they didn't want him dead, and the fall guy gets killed immediately after but got to settle his score first.
Without Putin the focus goes back on making money, and Russia stops invading people and threatening nuclear Armageddon.
The people around him are definitely considering if he's worth more as a myth than a man at this point.
Putin has no endgame.
There is no timeline where he can step down and live peacefully.
His one in a million is to conquer enough of Ukraine and somehow be allowed to keep it - but that’s not happening unless Donald wins the election.
Even if crooked Don wins the election, Ukraine now has a nice Kursk that will need to be traded back.
The more Ukraine grabs now, the less Russia is able to claim if crooked Don gets back in.
True. Dictators like Putin don't usually retire, alive at least and the end is not usually pretty, so he hangs on, and on.